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Forecasting Violent Events in the Middle East and North Africa Using the Hidden Markov Model and Regularized Autoregressive Models
Authors: KSM Tozammel Hossain, Shuyang Gao, Brendan Kennedy, Aram Galstyan, and Prem Natarajan Abstract This paper focuses on forecasting Military Action-type events by both state and non-state actors. Here we demonstrate that the dynamics of […]
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Misinformation Making a Disease Outbreak Worse: Outcomes Compared for Influenza, Monkey Pox, and Norovirus
By Julii Brainard and Paul R. Hunter Abstract Health misinformation can exacerbate infectious disease outbreaks. Especially pernicious advice could be classified as “fake news”: manufactured with no respect for accuracy and often integrated with emotive […]
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Assessing the Cognitive Complexity of Cyber Range Environments
By Antonio Roque, Douglas Stetson, Daniel J Hannon Abstract We present a conceptual foundation and empirical framework for modeling cognitive complexity in cyber range event operating environments. Definitions of key concepts, such as cognitive complexity, […]
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Toward reproducible disease models using the Systems Biology Markup Language
By Leandro Watanabe, Jacob Barhak, Chris Myers Abstract Disease modelers have been modeling progression of diseases for several decades using such tools as Markov models or microsimulation. However, they need to address a serious challenge; […]
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The 2018 SCS Editor’s Choice Award has been Announced!
The 2018 SCS Editor’s Choice award has been awarded to Berenice Gudiño-Mendoza, Ernesto Lopez-Mellado, and Enrique Aquayo-Lara, for their paper, “A scheme for the simulation of networked agent systems modeled by timed hybrid Petri nets.” […]
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Cyber threat assessment via attack scenario simulation using an integrated adversary and network modeling approach
By Stephen Moskal1, Shanchieh Jay Yang1, and Michael E Kuhl2 Abstract Existing research on cyber threat assessment focuses on analyzing the network vulnerabilities and producing possible attack graphs. Cyber attacks in real-world enterprise networks, however, vary […]
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The protoscience of cybersecurity
By Eric N Hatleback Abstract I argue that marking a proper distinction between two types of research in the cybersecurity field obviates the present debate concerning a “science of cybersecurity.” Once the terminology has been properly […]
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Largest Supercomputer Simulation of Sumatra-Andaman Earthquake
By Linda Barney This article features the results of the December 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake and of how it was one of the most powerful and destructive seismic events in history and cause a tsunami which […]